Broder sees a possibility that Palin could help McCain.

“The Democrats' great advantage is that they are not responsible for the pain and frustration that many voters have suffered in the Bush years. But if McCain and Palin can shift the focus to the future, they may be able to appeal to the "change" voters who will in the end decide the election.”

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/09/after_palin_shocker_a_hopeful.html

But Broder repeats the common misperception that Biden’s background is working class. Note to press: not all (not even most) working class people are uncultured and not all uncultured people are working class.

http://www.creators.com/opinion/steve-chapman/joe-biden-s-mythical-blue-collar-roots.html

I bet you Biden is feeling mighty confident right now, which could make for an entertaining VP debate. Personally, I think he’s vulnerable, but I haven’t been a fan of his since his “I bet I’m smarter than you” moment twenty years ago.

http://conservativepulse.com/home/2008/08/joe-biden-im-smarter-than-you/

Politico has a web site (referencing realclearpolitics) which is clearer than that of fivethirtyeight.com, but the story is virtually unchanged from a month ago. Colorado remains the swing state. Obama has a 0.4% lead there. If everything stays the same and McCain takes Colorado he wins 274 – 264.

http://www.politico.com/convention/swingstate.html

I’m betting Palin will exceed expectations by being able to discuss any number of Biden foreign policy gaffes over the years. Recall he was calling for the partition of Iraq just a couple of years ago. People focus on his off-the-wall comments so much, they sometimes forget his policy prescriptions can be just as wacky.